Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo match summary and prediction — Superettan
There is barely anything between Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Norrby IF host IFK Varnamo on 31 October 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras. Norrby IF are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 29 fixture in Superettan is listed as Norrby IF - IFK Varnamo. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Norrby IF: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -10.
IFK Varnamo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -13.
Side by side
| Statistic | Norrby IF | IFK Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDL | LWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 8 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.8 | 41.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 37% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Norrby IF 35.8 versus IFK Varnamo 41.8, a gap of 5.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Norrby IF's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Norrby IF is the nominal pick at 41%, but the three results sit close to even. IFK Varnamo's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Norrby IF's way, especially at Borås Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Norrby IF or IFK Varnamo?
Norrby IF, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Norrby IF, 22% the draw and 37% IFK Varnamo.
When and where is Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo being played?
31 October 2026 at Borås Arena, Boras, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo?
Norrby IF have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWDL), IFK Varnamo 6 from theirs (LWLWL). Most recently Norrby IF took a 0-4 defeat at home to IFK Norrkoping and IFK Varnamo a 0-1 defeat at home to Sandviken.
How many goals are expected in Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for Norrby IF and 1.40 for IFK Varnamo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.