IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes IFK Norrkoping the pick at 43% for IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
IFK Norrkoping face Ostersunds FK on 31 October 2026 at Idrottsparken, Norrköping. IFK Norrkoping are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 29 fixture in Superettan is listed as IFK Norrkoping - Ostersunds FK. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
IFK Norrkoping: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.7 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +40.
Ostersunds FK: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.0 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | IFK Norrkoping | Ostersunds FK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +40 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDW | WDDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 3 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 71.7 | 58.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: IFK Norrkoping 71.7 versus Ostersunds FK 58.0, a gap of 13.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans IFK Norrkoping's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards IFK Norrkoping at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts IFK Norrkoping's way, especially at Idrottsparken.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: IFK Norrkoping or Ostersunds FK?
IFK Norrkoping, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% IFK Norrkoping, 24% the draw and 32% Ostersunds FK.
When and where is IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK being played?
31 October 2026 at Idrottsparken, Norrköping, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have IFK Norrkoping and Ostersunds FK met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of IFK Norrkoping and Ostersunds FK?
IFK Norrkoping have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWDW), Ostersunds FK 6 from theirs (WDDLD). Most recently IFK Norrkoping took a 4-0 win away at Norrby IF and Ostersunds FK a 4-1 win at home to United Nordic.
How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.80 for IFK Norrkoping and 1.60 for Ostersunds FK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.