Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the pick at 42% for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Varbergs BoIS FC face Ljungskile SK on 1 November 2026 at Påskbergsvallen, Varberg. Varbergs BoIS FC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 29 fixture in Superettan is listed as Varbergs BoIS FC - Ljungskile SK. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Varbergs BoIS FC: they come in on three successive draws, following one win before that. That is one win, three draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored five and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +11.
Ljungskile SK: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Varbergs BoIS FC | Ljungskile SK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 10th |
| Goal difference | +11 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDDW | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.8 | 41.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Varbergs BoIS FC 57.8 versus Ljungskile SK 41.4, a gap of 16.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Varbergs BoIS FC's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Varbergs BoIS FC at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Ljungskile SK's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Varbergs BoIS FC's way, especially at Påskbergsvallen.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Varbergs BoIS FC or Ljungskile SK?
Varbergs BoIS FC, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Varbergs BoIS FC, 26% the draw and 32% Ljungskile SK.
When and where is Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK being played?
1 November 2026 at Påskbergsvallen, Varberg, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Have Varbergs BoIS FC and Ljungskile SK met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Varbergs BoIS FC and Ljungskile SK?
Varbergs BoIS FC have taken 6 points from their last four (DDDW), Ljungskile SK 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently Varbergs BoIS FC took a 1-1 draw away at Landskrona BoIS and Ljungskile SK a 1-1 draw away at Helsingborg.
How many goals are expected in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Varbergs BoIS FC and 1.40 for Ljungskile SK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.