Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Helsingborg the pick at 42% for Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Helsingborg face Falkenbergs FF on 7 November 2026 at Olympia, Helsingborg. Helsingborg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 30 fixture in Superettan is listed as Helsingborg - Falkenbergs FF. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Helsingborg: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 11 conceded in seven matches, 0.86 and 1.57 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.5 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -14.
Falkenbergs FF: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | Helsingborg | Falkenbergs FF |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -14 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | WLWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 6 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.86 / 1.57 | 1.33 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.86 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.5 | 62.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Helsingborg 31.5 versus Falkenbergs FF 62.1, a gap of 30.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Helsingborg's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Helsingborg at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Falkenbergs FF's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Helsingborg's way, especially at Olympia.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Helsingborg or Falkenbergs FF?
Helsingborg, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Helsingborg, 24% the draw and 34% Falkenbergs FF.
When and where is Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF being played?
7 November 2026 at Olympia, Helsingborg, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Helsingborg and Falkenbergs FF met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Helsingborg and Falkenbergs FF?
Helsingborg have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Falkenbergs FF 10 from theirs (WLWWD). Most recently Helsingborg took a 0-3 defeat away at Osters IF and Falkenbergs FF a 2-1 win at home to Sandviken.
How many goals are expected in Helsingborg vs Falkenbergs FF?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Helsingborg and 1.40 for Falkenbergs FF. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.