IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between IFK Varnamo and IFK Norrkoping on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
IFK Norrkoping travel to IFK Varnamo on 7 November 2026 at Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo. IFK Varnamo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 30 fixture in Superettan is listed as IFK Varnamo - IFK Norrkoping. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
IFK Varnamo: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.67 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.5 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -10.
IFK Norrkoping: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 3 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 0.5 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 79.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +43.
Comparison data
| Statistic | IFK Varnamo | IFK Norrkoping |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -10 | +43 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | WWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 4 | 13 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.67 / 1.17 | 2.0 / 0.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.5 | 79.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: IFK Varnamo 52.5 versus IFK Norrkoping 79.1, a gap of 26.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans IFK Norrkoping's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. IFK Varnamo is the nominal pick at 41%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts IFK Varnamo's way, especially at Finnvedsvallen.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: IFK Varnamo or IFK Norrkoping?
IFK Varnamo, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% IFK Varnamo, 22% the draw and 36% IFK Norrkoping.
When and where is IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping being played?
7 November 2026 at Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have IFK Varnamo and IFK Norrkoping met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of IFK Varnamo and IFK Norrkoping?
IFK Varnamo have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), IFK Norrkoping 11 from theirs (WWDWD). Most recently IFK Varnamo took a 3-0 win away at Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping a 3-0 win at home to Ostersunds FK.
How many goals are expected in IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.80 for IFK Varnamo and 2.20 for IFK Norrkoping. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.