Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 50% for Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cobresal host Coquimbo Unido on 12 September 2026 at Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 50%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 23 fixture in Primera División is listed as Cobresal - Coquimbo Unido. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Cobresal: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 26 conceded in 15 matches, 1.07 and 1.73 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.6 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -11.
Coquimbo Unido: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 23 conceded in 19 matches, 1.47 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cobresal | Coquimbo Unido |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -11 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLL | LWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 5 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 15 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.07 / 1.73 | 1.47 / 1.21 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.73 | 1.58 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.6 | 41.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 17% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cobresal 35.6 versus Coquimbo Unido 41.9, a gap of 6.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 13% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Cobresal's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cobresal or Coquimbo Unido?
Neither side. Our model splits it 33% Cobresal, 50% the draw and 17% Coquimbo Unido, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido being played?
12 September 2026 at Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cobresal and Coquimbo Unido?
Coquimbo Unido 3-2 Cobresal on 03 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Cobresal and Coquimbo Unido?
Cobresal have taken 4 points from their last five (LWDLL), Coquimbo Unido 4 from theirs (LWLLD). Most recently Cobresal took a 0-3 defeat away at Deportes Limache and Coquimbo Unido a 2-4 defeat away at Universidad de Chile.
How many goals are expected in Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for Cobresal and 0.60 for Coquimbo Unido. It rates over 2.5 goals at 13%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.