Nublense vs Everton de Vina: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 52% for Nublense vs Everton de Vina. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Nublense face Everton de Vina on 12 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 52%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 23 fixture in Primera División is listed as Nublense - Everton de Vina. Kick-off is 15:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Nublense: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 15 conceded in twelve matches, 1.0 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -1.
Everton de Vina: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 11 conceded in twelve matches, 1.0 and 0.92 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Nublense | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -1 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWW | LWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 11 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 12 | 12 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.25 | 1.0 / 0.92 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.8 | 60.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 22% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Nublense 44.8 versus Everton de Vina 60.8, a gap of 16.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.17, over 2.5 goals at 11% and both teams to score at 43%.
- First goal: Leans Everton de Vina's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Everton de Vina's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Nublense or Everton de Vina?
Neither side. Our model splits it 22% Nublense, 52% the draw and 26% Everton de Vina, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Nublense vs Everton de Vina being played?
12 September 2026 at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Nublense and Everton de Vina?
Everton de Vina 0-0 Nublense on 04 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Nublense and Everton de Vina?
Nublense have taken 6 points from their last five (LLLWW), Everton de Vina 10 from theirs (LWWDW). Most recently Nublense took a 1-2 defeat away at D. La Serena and Everton de Vina a 0-1 defeat at home to U. Catolica.
How many goals are expected in Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.17 — 0.67 for Nublense and 0.50 for Everton de Vina. It rates over 2.5 goals at 11%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 43%, so its call is no.