Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Coquimbo Unido the pick at 60% for Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Coquimbo Unido host Union La Calera on 30 October 2026 at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo. Coquimbo Unido are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 26 fixture in Primera División is listed as Coquimbo Unido - Union La Calera. Kick-off is 22:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Coquimbo Unido: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 36 conceded in 26 matches, 1.42 and 1.38 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.5 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +2.
Union La Calera: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 30 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.6 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -19.
Side by side
| Statistic | Coquimbo Unido | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWW | WDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 5 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.42 / 1.38 | 1.11 / 1.58 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.5 | 43.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 18% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Coquimbo Unido 45.5 versus Union La Calera 43.6, a gap of 1.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Coquimbo Unido's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Coquimbo Unido at 60%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Coquimbo Unido's way, especially at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Coquimbo Unido or Union La Calera?
Coquimbo Unido, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Coquimbo Unido, 22% the draw and 18% Union La Calera.
When and where is Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera being played?
30 October 2026 at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo, kick-off 22:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Coquimbo Unido and Union La Calera?
Union La Calera 1-2 Coquimbo Unido on 24 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Coquimbo Unido and Union La Calera?
Coquimbo Unido have taken 9 points from their last four (LWWW), Union La Calera 6 from theirs (WDDD). Most recently Coquimbo Unido took a 1-2 defeat away at Nublense and Union La Calera a 3-1 win at home to U. Catolica.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Coquimbo Unido and 1.20 for Union La Calera. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.