O'Higgins vs Nublense: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes O'Higgins the pick at 62% for O'Higgins vs Nublense. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Nublense travel to O'Higgins on 31 October 2026 at Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua. O'Higgins are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 26 fixture in Primera División is listed as O'Higgins - Nublense. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
O'Higgins: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 40 conceded in 30 matches, 1.2 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -10.
Nublense: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 26 conceded in 19 matches, 1.05 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | O'Higgins | Nublense |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWW | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 4 | 5 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 30 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.2 / 1.33 | 1.05 / 1.37 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.4 | 1.26 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.8 | 33.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 20% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: O'Higgins 35.8 versus Nublense 33.0, a gap of 2.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans O'Higgins' way at 63%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards O'Higgins at 62%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts O'Higgins's way, especially at Estadio El Teniente.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: O'Higgins or Nublense?
O'Higgins, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% O'Higgins, 18% the draw and 20% Nublense.
When and where is O'Higgins vs Nublense being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between O'Higgins and Nublense?
Nublense 0-2 O'Higgins on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of O'Higgins and Nublense?
O'Higgins have taken 10 points from their last five (DLWWW), Nublense 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently O'Higgins took a 1-1 draw at home to Cobresal and Nublense a 2-1 win at home to Coquimbo Unido.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Nublense?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.20 for O'Higgins and 0.80 for Nublense. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.