U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes U. Catolica the pick at 43% for U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
U. Catolica host Universidad de Chile on 1 November 2026 at San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago. U. Catolica are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 26 fixture in Primera División is listed as U. Catolica - Universidad de Chile. Kick-off is 20:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
U. Catolica: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (50 scored and 37 conceded in 28 matches, 1.79 and 1.32 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +15.
Universidad de Chile: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 13 conceded in 18 matches, 1.56 and 0.72 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +25.
Side by side
| Statistic | U. Catolica | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +15 | +25 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDDW | WWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 12 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 28 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.79 / 1.32 | 1.56 / 0.72 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.71 | 1.89 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.1 | 71.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: U. Catolica 62.1 versus Universidad de Chile 71.2, a gap of 9.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans U. Catolica's way at 51%.
The call
The model edges towards U. Catolica at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Universidad de Chile's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts U. Catolica's way, especially at San Carlos de Apoquindo.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: U. Catolica or Universidad de Chile?
U. Catolica, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% U. Catolica, 22% the draw and 35% Universidad de Chile.
When and where is U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile being played?
1 November 2026 at San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago, kick-off 20:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between U. Catolica and Universidad de Chile?
Universidad de Chile 1-0 U. Catolica on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of U. Catolica and Universidad de Chile?
U. Catolica have taken 6 points from their last five (DLDDW), Universidad de Chile 10 from theirs (WWLDW). Most recently U. Catolica took a 1-1 draw at home to A. Italiano and Universidad de Chile a 4-1 win at home to Everton de Vina.
How many goals are expected in U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 1.80 for U. Catolica and 3.00 for Universidad de Chile. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.