A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes A. Italiano the pick at 48% for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Coquimbo Unido travel to A. Italiano on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile. A. Italiano are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 27 fixture in Primera División is listed as A. Italiano - Coquimbo Unido. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
A. Italiano: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 35 conceded in 26 matches, 1.23 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -7.
Coquimbo Unido: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 36 conceded in 27 matches, 1.41 and 1.33 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | A. Italiano | Coquimbo Unido |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -7 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 5 | 11 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.23 / 1.35 | 1.41 / 1.33 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.19 | 1.41 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.9 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: A. Italiano 49.9 versus Coquimbo Unido 45.8, a gap of 4.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans A. Italiano's way at 57%.
The call
The model tilts to A. Italiano at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Coquimbo Unido's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts A. Italiano's way, especially at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: A. Italiano or Coquimbo Unido?
A. Italiano, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% A. Italiano, 25% the draw and 27% Coquimbo Unido.
When and where is A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between A. Italiano and Coquimbo Unido?
Coquimbo Unido 3-0 A. Italiano on 16 May 2026.
What is the recent form of A. Italiano and Coquimbo Unido?
A. Italiano have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Coquimbo Unido 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently A. Italiano took a 0-2 defeat away at Deportes Limache and Coquimbo Unido a 1-0 win at home to Union La Calera.
How many goals are expected in A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.80 for A. Italiano and 1.40 for Coquimbo Unido. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.