Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Universidad de Chile the pick at 76% for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Universidad de Chile host Cobresal on 8 November 2026 at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile. Universidad de Chile are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 76%. This matchday 27 fixture in Primera División is listed as Universidad de Chile - Cobresal. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Universidad de Chile: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 14 conceded in 19 matches, 1.47 and 0.74 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.0 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +24.
Cobresal: they come in on three successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 36 conceded in 21 matches, 1.24 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Universidad de Chile | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 14th |
| Goal difference | +24 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLD | DDDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 5 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 19 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.47 / 0.74 | 1.24 / 1.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.79 | 0.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 71.0 | 42.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 76% | 10% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Universidad de Chile 71.0 versus Cobresal 42.5, a gap of 28.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Universidad de Chile's way at 73%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Universidad de Chile at 76%, a gap of 61 percentage points to the next outcome. Universidad de Chile's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Universidad de Chile's way, especially at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Universidad de Chile or Cobresal?
Universidad de Chile, with an implied win probability of roughly 76%. The full split is 76% Universidad de Chile, 15% the draw and 10% Cobresal.
When and where is Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal being played?
8 November 2026 at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Universidad de Chile and Cobresal?
Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de Chile on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Universidad de Chile and Cobresal?
Universidad de Chile have taken 7 points from their last five (LWWLD), Cobresal 6 from theirs (DDDWL). Most recently Universidad de Chile took a 0-1 defeat away at U. Catolica and Cobresal a 2-2 draw at home to Everton de Vina.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.60 for Universidad de Chile and 1.20 for Cobresal. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.