Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Gwangju FC travel to Bucheon FC 1995 on 24 October 2026 at Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon. Bucheon FC 1995 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 33 fixture in K League 1 is listed as Bucheon FC 1995 - Gwangju FC. Kick-off is 05:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bucheon FC 1995: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Gwangju FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -42.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bucheon FC 1995 | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -12 | -42 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDL | LWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 10 | 9 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.3 | 31.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bucheon FC 1995 25.3 versus Gwangju FC 31.2, a gap of 5.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.65, over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Bucheon FC 1995's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Bucheon FC 1995 is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. Gwangju FC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bucheon FC 1995's way, especially at Bucheon Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bucheon FC 1995 or Gwangju FC?
Bucheon FC 1995, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Bucheon FC 1995, 36% the draw and 25% Gwangju FC.
When and where is Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC being played?
24 October 2026 at Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon, kick-off 05:00 UTC.
Have Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC?
Bucheon FC 1995 have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLDL), Gwangju FC 5 from theirs (LWDDL). Most recently Bucheon FC 1995 took a 1-2 defeat away at Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gwangju FC a 2-3 defeat away at Daejeon Citizen.
How many goals are expected in Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.65 — 1.40 for Bucheon FC 1995 and 1.25 for Gwangju FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.