Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Citizen on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Daejeon Citizen travel to Gimcheon Sangmu FC on 24 October 2026 at Gimcheon Stadium, Golden Spring. Daejeon Citizen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 33 fixture in K League 1 is listed as Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Daejeon Citizen. Kick-off is 05:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Gimcheon Sangmu FC: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -7.
Daejeon Citizen: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.4 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Daejeon Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -7 | +11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDD | WDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.2 | 64.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 43.2 versus Daejeon Citizen 64.4, a gap of 21.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Daejeon Citizen's way at 51%.
The call
The model does not commit. Daejeon Citizen is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gimcheon Sangmu FC or Daejeon Citizen?
Daejeon Citizen, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 35% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 29% the draw and 36% Daejeon Citizen.
When and where is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen being played?
24 October 2026 at Gimcheon Stadium, Golden Spring, kick-off 05:00 UTC.
Have Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Citizen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Citizen?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC have taken 6 points from their last five (DLWDD), Daejeon Citizen 11 from theirs (WDWDW). Most recently Gimcheon Sangmu FC took a 2-2 draw away at FC Seoul and Daejeon Citizen a 3-2 win at home to Gwangju FC.
How many goals are expected in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.40 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 2.80 for Daejeon Citizen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.