FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes FC Seoul the pick at 41% for FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FC Seoul host Gangwon FC on 24 October 2026 at Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul. FC Seoul are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 33 fixture in K League 1 is listed as FC Seoul - Gangwon FC. Kick-off is 05:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Seoul: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +32.
Gangwon FC: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Seoul | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 4th |
| Goal difference | +32 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWLL | DLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.3 | 47.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Seoul 56.3 versus Gangwon FC 47.5, a gap of 8.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans FC Seoul's way at 48%.
The call
The model edges towards FC Seoul at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Gangwon FC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Seoul's way, especially at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Seoul or Gangwon FC?
FC Seoul, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% FC Seoul, 32% the draw and 27% Gangwon FC.
When and where is FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC being played?
24 October 2026 at Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul, kick-off 05:00 UTC.
Have FC Seoul and Gangwon FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Seoul and Gangwon FC?
FC Seoul have taken 4 points from their last five (DLWLL), Gangwon FC 5 from theirs (DLWDL). Most recently FC Seoul took a 2-2 draw at home to Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gangwon FC a 1-1 draw at home to Incheon United.
How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for FC Seoul and 1.40 for Gangwon FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.