WIT Georgia vs Varketili: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes WIT Georgia the pick at 58% for WIT Georgia vs Varketili. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
WIT Georgia host Varketili on 24 October 2026 at Shevardeni Stadium, Tbilisi. WIT Georgia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 25 fixture in Liga 3 is listed as WIT Georgia - Varketili. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
WIT Georgia: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +10.
Varketili: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +43.
Comparison data
| Statistic | WIT Georgia | Varketili |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +10 | +43 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWD | DWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.8 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 19% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: WIT Georgia 50.8 versus Varketili 55.8, a gap of 4.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans WIT Georgia's way at 61%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards WIT Georgia at 58%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts WIT Georgia's way, especially at Shevardeni Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: WIT Georgia or Varketili?
WIT Georgia, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% WIT Georgia, 22% the draw and 19% Varketili.
When and where is WIT Georgia vs Varketili being played?
24 October 2026 at Shevardeni Stadium, Tbilisi, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have WIT Georgia and Varketili met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of WIT Georgia and Varketili?
WIT Georgia have taken 7 points from their last five (LWLWD), Varketili 6 from theirs (DWLDD). Most recently WIT Georgia took a 1-3 defeat away at Dinamo Tbilisi II and Varketili a 0-0 draw away at Guria.
How many goals are expected in WIT Georgia vs Varketili?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 2.00 for WIT Georgia and 1.35 for Varketili. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.