Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi match summary and prediction — Liga 3
There is barely anything between Gonio and Merani Tbilisi on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Gonio host Merani Tbilisi on 30 October 2026 at Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti. Gonio are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 26 fixture in Liga 3 is listed as Gonio - Merani Tbilisi. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Gonio: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Merani Tbilisi: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Gonio | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +10 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWL | LWDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 10 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.5 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Gonio 57.5 versus Merani Tbilisi 53.4, a gap of 4.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Merani Tbilisi's way at 47%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Gonio is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Gonio's way, especially at Kobuleti Football Center.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Gonio or Merani Tbilisi?
Gonio, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Gonio, 25% the draw and 35% Merani Tbilisi.
When and where is Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi being played?
30 October 2026 at Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Gonio and Merani Tbilisi met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Gonio and Merani Tbilisi?
Gonio have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLWL), Merani Tbilisi 8 from theirs (LWDDW). Most recently Gonio took a 1-0 win away at Didube 2014 and Merani Tbilisi a 0-4 defeat at home to FC Iberia 1999 II.
How many goals are expected in Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 1.35 for Gonio and 2.00 for Merani Tbilisi. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.