Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Gardabani: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Lokomotivi Tbilisi the pick at 45% for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Gardabani. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Lokomotivi Tbilisi face Gardabani on 30 October 2026 at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi. Lokomotivi Tbilisi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 26 fixture in Liga 3 is listed as Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gardabani. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lokomotivi Tbilisi: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and two defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. Across those four they scored seven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +3.
Gardabani: they come in on four defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and four defeats from the last four, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored one and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 14.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -42.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | Gardabani |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -42 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWL | LLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 1 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.8 | 14.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 55.8 versus Gardabani 14.5, a gap of 41.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Lokomotivi Tbilisi's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Lokomotivi Tbilisi's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Lokomotivi Tbilisi's way, especially at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lokomotivi Tbilisi or Gardabani?
Lokomotivi Tbilisi, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Lokomotivi Tbilisi, 29% the draw and 26% Gardabani.
When and where is Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Gardabani being played?
30 October 2026 at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Lokomotivi Tbilisi and Gardabani met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lokomotivi Tbilisi and Gardabani?
Lokomotivi Tbilisi have taken 6 points from their last four (LWWL), Gardabani 0 from theirs (LLLL). Most recently Lokomotivi Tbilisi took a 1-2 defeat at home to Merani Tbilisi and Gardabani a 0-3 defeat away at Iberia 2010.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Gardabani?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.00 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi and 1.35 for Gardabani. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.