Varketili vs Irao: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Varketili the pick at 52% for Varketili vs Irao. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Irao travel to Varketili on 30 October 2026. Varketili are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 26 fixture in Liga 3 is listed as Varketili - Irao. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Varketili: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 5 points. Across those four they scored four and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.7 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +44.
Irao: they come in on the back of a draw, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Varketili | Irao |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 7th |
| Goal difference | +44 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLD | DLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 2 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 62.7 | 37.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Varketili 62.7 versus Irao 37.5, a gap of 25.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Varketili's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Varketili at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Varketili's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Varketili or Irao?
Varketili, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Varketili, 24% the draw and 24% Irao.
When and where is Varketili vs Irao being played?
30 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Varketili and Irao met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Varketili and Irao?
Varketili have taken 5 points from their last four (DWLD), Irao 3 from theirs (DLDLD). Most recently Varketili took a 0-0 draw away at Guria and Irao a 1-1 draw at home to Dinamo Tbilisi II.
How many goals are expected in Varketili vs Irao?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.35 for Varketili and 1.00 for Irao. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.