Merani Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II match summary and prediction — Liga 3
There is barely anything between Merani Tbilisi and Dinamo Tbilisi II on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Merani Tbilisi face Dinamo Tbilisi II on 6 November 2026. Dinamo Tbilisi II are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 27 fixture in Liga 3 is listed as Merani Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi II. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Merani Tbilisi: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.7 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Dinamo Tbilisi II: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Across those four they scored four and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.6 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Merani Tbilisi | Dinamo Tbilisi II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDD | DWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 12 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.7 | 49.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Merani Tbilisi 42.7 versus Dinamo Tbilisi II 49.6, a gap of 6.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.33, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Merani Tbilisi's way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Dinamo Tbilisi II is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Merani Tbilisi or Dinamo Tbilisi II?
Dinamo Tbilisi II, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 36% Merani Tbilisi, 26% the draw and 38% Dinamo Tbilisi II.
When and where is Merani Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II being played?
6 November 2026, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Merani Tbilisi and Dinamo Tbilisi II met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Merani Tbilisi and Dinamo Tbilisi II?
Merani Tbilisi have taken 5 points from their last five (LLWDD), Dinamo Tbilisi II 4 from theirs (DWLL). Most recently Merani Tbilisi took a 0-3 defeat away at Gonio and Dinamo Tbilisi II a 1-1 draw away at Irao.
How many goals are expected in Merani Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.33 — 1.33 for Merani Tbilisi and 1.00 for Dinamo Tbilisi II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.