Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Utah Royals W the pick at 61% for Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Houston Dash W host Utah Royals W on 13 September 2026 at Shell Energy Stadium. Utah Royals W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as Houston Dash W - Utah Royals W. Kick-off is 00:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Houston Dash W: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 19 conceded in twelve matches, 1.17 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -4.
Utah Royals W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 13 conceded in 13 matches, 1.46 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Houston Dash W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWW | LWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 9 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 12 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.58 | 1.46 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.85 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.0 | 47.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 4% | 61% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Houston Dash W 44.0 versus Utah Royals W 47.5, a gap of 3.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.00, over 2.5 goals at 4% and both teams to score at 22%.
- First goal: Leans Utah Royals W's way at 74%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Utah Royals W at 61%, a gap of 27 percentage points to the next outcome. Utah Royals W's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Houston Dash W or Utah Royals W?
Utah Royals W, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 4% Houston Dash W, 34% the draw and 61% Utah Royals W.
When and where is Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W being played?
13 September 2026 at Shell Energy Stadium, kick-off 00:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Houston Dash W and Utah Royals W?
Utah Royals W 2-0 Houston Dash W on 07 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Houston Dash W and Utah Royals W?
Houston Dash W have taken 6 points from their last five (LLLWW), Utah Royals W 6 from theirs (LWLWL). Most recently Houston Dash W took a 1-3 defeat away at Orlando Pride W and Utah Royals W a 1-2 defeat at home to Boston Legacy W.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dash W vs Utah Royals W?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.00 — 0.00 for Houston Dash W and 1.00 for Utah Royals W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 4%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 22%, so its call is no.