Boston Legacy W vs Houston Dash W match summary and prediction — NWSL Women
Our model makes a draw the pick at 49% for Boston Legacy W vs Houston Dash W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Boston Legacy W face Houston Dash W on 20 September 2026 at Centreville Bank Stadium. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 49%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as Boston Legacy W - Houston Dash W. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Boston Legacy W: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 20 conceded in twelve matches, 0.92 and 1.67 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.8 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Houston Dash W: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 19 conceded in twelve matches, 1.17 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Boston Legacy W | Houston Dash W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 12th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLL | LLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 12 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 12 | 12 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.92 / 1.67 | 1.17 / 1.58 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.58 | 1.17 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.8 | 33.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Boston Legacy W 42.8 versus Houston Dash W 33.8, a gap of 9.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.00, over 2.5 goals at 7% and both teams to score at 25%.
- First goal: Leans Boston Legacy W's way at 58%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Boston Legacy W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Boston Legacy W or Houston Dash W?
Neither side. Our model splits it 29% Boston Legacy W, 49% the draw and 22% Houston Dash W, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Boston Legacy W vs Houston Dash W being played?
20 September 2026 at Centreville Bank Stadium, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Boston Legacy W and Houston Dash W?
Houston Dash W 3-0 Boston Legacy W on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Boston Legacy W and Houston Dash W?
Boston Legacy W have taken 6 points from their last five (WWLLL), Houston Dash W 3 from theirs (LLLLW). Most recently Boston Legacy W took a 3-0 win away at Washington Spirit W and Houston Dash W a 0-1 defeat at home to Utah Royals W.
How many goals are expected in Boston Legacy W vs Houston Dash W?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.00 — 1.00 for Boston Legacy W and 0.00 for Houston Dash W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 7%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 25%, so its call is no.