Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign FC W: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Utah Royals W the pick at 45% for Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign FC W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Seattle Reign FC W travel to Utah Royals W on 24 October 2026 at Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy. Utah Royals W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as Utah Royals W - Seattle Reign FC W. Kick-off is 01:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Utah Royals W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 19 conceded in 18 matches, 1.5 and 1.06 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Seattle Reign FC W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 8 conceded in eight matches, 2.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Utah Royals W | Seattle Reign FC W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 8th |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLW | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.06 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 2.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.1 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Utah Royals W 50.1 versus Seattle Reign FC W 45.8, a gap of 4.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Utah Royals W's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Utah Royals W at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Utah Royals W's way, especially at Rio Tinto Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Utah Royals W or Seattle Reign FC W?
Utah Royals W, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Utah Royals W, 29% the draw and 26% Seattle Reign FC W.
When and where is Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign FC W being played?
24 October 2026 at Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy, kick-off 01:30 UTC.
Have Utah Royals W and Seattle Reign FC W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Utah Royals W and Seattle Reign FC W?
Utah Royals W have taken 7 points from their last five (LDWLW), Seattle Reign FC W 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Utah Royals W took a 0-2 defeat at home to Kansas City W and Seattle Reign FC W a 3-1 win away at Chicago Red Stars W.
How many goals are expected in Utah Royals W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Utah Royals W and 2.20 for Seattle Reign FC W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.