NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Utah Royals W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes NJ/NY Gotham FC W the pick at 58% for NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Utah Royals W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
NJ/NY Gotham FC W face Utah Royals W on 1 November 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison. NJ/NY Gotham FC W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as NJ/NY Gotham FC W - Utah Royals W. Kick-off is 22:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
NJ/NY Gotham FC W: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 13 conceded in 20 matches, 1.25 and 0.65 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +14.
Utah Royals W: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 19 conceded in 19 matches, 1.42 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 6th |
| Goal difference | +14 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDWW | DLDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 3 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 0.65 | 1.42 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.15 | 1.63 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.8 | 43.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 61.8 versus Utah Royals W 43.4, a gap of 18.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W's way at 55%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards NJ/NY Gotham FC W at 58%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. NJ/NY Gotham FC W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts NJ/NY Gotham FC W's way, especially at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NJ/NY Gotham FC W or Utah Royals W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% NJ/NY Gotham FC W, 20% the draw and 22% Utah Royals W.
When and where is NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Utah Royals W being played?
1 November 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, kick-off 22:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Utah Royals W?
Utah Royals W 1-3 NJ/NY Gotham FC W on 11 July 2026.
What is the recent form of NJ/NY Gotham FC W and Utah Royals W?
NJ/NY Gotham FC W have taken 10 points from their last five (WLDWW), Utah Royals W 5 from theirs (DLDWL). Most recently NJ/NY Gotham FC W took a 2-1 win away at Orlando Pride W and Utah Royals W a 0-0 draw at home to Seattle Reign FC W.
How many goals are expected in NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Utah Royals W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W and 1.60 for Utah Royals W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.