Houston Dash W vs Portland Thorns W: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Houston Dash W and Portland Thorns W on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Houston Dash W face Portland Thorns W on 1 November 2026 at BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston. Portland Thorns W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as Houston Dash W - Portland Thorns W. Kick-off is 22:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Houston Dash W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 31 conceded in 20 matches, 1.3 and 1.55 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -4.
Portland Thorns W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 25 conceded in 19 matches, 1.58 and 1.32 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.4 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Houston Dash W | Portland Thorns W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDW | WDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.3 / 1.55 | 1.58 / 1.32 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.05 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.3 | 53.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Houston Dash W 47.3 versus Portland Thorns W 53.4, a gap of 6.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Portland Thorns W's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Portland Thorns W is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Houston Dash W or Portland Thorns W?
Portland Thorns W, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 34% Houston Dash W, 28% the draw and 38% Portland Thorns W.
When and where is Houston Dash W vs Portland Thorns W being played?
1 November 2026 at BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston, kick-off 22:00 UTC.
Have Houston Dash W and Portland Thorns W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Houston Dash W and Portland Thorns W?
Houston Dash W have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLDW), Portland Thorns W 8 from theirs (WDLDW). Most recently Houston Dash W took a 3-1 win away at Chicago Red Stars W and Portland Thorns W a 1-0 win at home to North Carolina Courage W.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dash W vs Portland Thorns W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Houston Dash W and 1.20 for Portland Thorns W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.