Seattle Reign FC W vs Orlando Pride W — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Seattle Reign FC W the pick at 48% for Seattle Reign FC W vs Orlando Pride W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Orlando Pride W travel to Seattle Reign FC W on 1 November 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle. Seattle Reign FC W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as Seattle Reign FC W - Orlando Pride W. Kick-off is 22:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Seattle Reign FC W: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 8 conceded in nine matches, 1.78 and 0.89 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +3.
Orlando Pride W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 29 conceded in 18 matches, 1.5 and 1.61 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Seattle Reign FC W | Orlando Pride W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWL | LWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 8 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.78 / 0.89 | 1.5 / 1.61 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.22 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.1 | 43.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Seattle Reign FC W 49.1 versus Orlando Pride W 43.2, a gap of 5.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Seattle Reign FC W's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Seattle Reign FC W at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Seattle Reign FC W's way, especially at Lumen Field.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Seattle Reign FC W or Orlando Pride W?
Seattle Reign FC W, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Seattle Reign FC W, 26% the draw and 26% Orlando Pride W.
When and where is Seattle Reign FC W vs Orlando Pride W being played?
1 November 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle, kick-off 22:00 UTC.
Have Seattle Reign FC W and Orlando Pride W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Seattle Reign FC W and Orlando Pride W?
Seattle Reign FC W have taken 7 points from their last five (DWLWL), Orlando Pride W 6 from theirs (LWLWL). Most recently Seattle Reign FC W took a 0-0 draw away at Utah Royals W and Orlando Pride W a 1-2 defeat at home to NJ/NY Gotham FC W.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Reign FC W vs Orlando Pride W?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Seattle Reign FC W and 2.20 for Orlando Pride W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.