Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Red Stars W: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Washington Spirit W the pick at 69% for Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Red Stars W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Washington Spirit W host Chicago Red Stars W on 1 November 2026 at Audi Field, Washington. Washington Spirit W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 69%. This group stage fixture in NWSL Women is listed as Washington Spirit W - Chicago Red Stars W. Kick-off is 22:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Washington Spirit W: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 22 conceded in 20 matches, 1.4 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +13.
Chicago Red Stars W: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 44 conceded in 19 matches, 0.47 and 2.32 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 12.0 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -52.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Washington Spirit W | Chicago Red Stars W |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 16th |
| Goal difference | +13 | -52 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLW | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 3 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.47 / 2.32 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.65 | 0.58 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.2 | 12.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 69% | 12% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Washington Spirit W 58.2 versus Chicago Red Stars W 12.0, a gap of 46.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Washington Spirit W's way at 67%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Washington Spirit W at 69%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. Washington Spirit W's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Washington Spirit W's way, especially at Audi Field.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Washington Spirit W or Chicago Red Stars W?
Washington Spirit W, with an implied win probability of roughly 69%. The full split is 69% Washington Spirit W, 19% the draw and 12% Chicago Red Stars W.
When and where is Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Red Stars W being played?
1 November 2026 at Audi Field, Washington, kick-off 22:00 UTC.
Have Washington Spirit W and Chicago Red Stars W met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Washington Spirit W and Chicago Red Stars W?
Washington Spirit W have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWLW), Chicago Red Stars W 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Washington Spirit W took a 1-2 defeat away at Kansas City W and Chicago Red Stars W a 1-3 defeat at home to Houston Dash W.
How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.20 for Washington Spirit W and 0.60 for Chicago Red Stars W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.