FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes FC Iberia 1999 the pick at 46% for FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Iberia 1999 face Gagra on 9 November 2026 at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi. FC Iberia 1999 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 32 fixture in Erovnuli Liga is listed as FC Iberia 1999 - Gagra. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Iberia 1999: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +12.
Gagra: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored five and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -17.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Iberia 1999 | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 8th |
| Goal difference | +12 | -17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDWL | DWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 5 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.3 | 30.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 23% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Iberia 1999 61.3 versus Gagra 30.8, a gap of 30.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans FC Iberia 1999's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to FC Iberia 1999 at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FC Iberia 1999's way, especially at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Iberia 1999 or Gagra?
FC Iberia 1999, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% FC Iberia 1999, 31% the draw and 23% Gagra.
When and where is FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra being played?
9 November 2026 at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have FC Iberia 1999 and Gagra met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Iberia 1999 and Gagra?
FC Iberia 1999 have taken 8 points from their last five (DWDWL), Gagra 5 from theirs (DWDLL). Most recently FC Iberia 1999 took a 0-0 draw away at Dinamo Tbilisi and Gagra a 2-2 draw at home to Rustavi.
How many goals are expected in FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 1.00 for FC Iberia 1999 and 0.60 for Gagra. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.