Auda vs FS Jelgava: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Auda the pick at 67% for Auda vs FS Jelgava. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Auda host FS Jelgava on 1 November 2026 at Ķekavas stadions, Kekava. Auda are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 67%. This matchday 35 fixture in Virsliga is listed as Auda - FS Jelgava. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Auda: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +22.
FS Jelgava: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -23.
Side by side
| Statistic | Auda | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 7th |
| Goal difference | +22 | -23 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDW | LLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 2 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.8 | 22.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 67% | 15% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Auda 63.8 versus FS Jelgava 22.6, a gap of 41.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Auda's way at 68%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Auda at 67%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. Auda's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Auda's way, especially at Ķekavas stadions.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Auda or FS Jelgava?
Auda, with an implied win probability of roughly 67%. The full split is 67% Auda, 18% the draw and 15% FS Jelgava.
When and where is Auda vs FS Jelgava being played?
1 November 2026 at Ķekavas stadions, Kekava, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Auda and FS Jelgava met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Auda and FS Jelgava?
Auda have taken 10 points from their last five (WLWDW), FS Jelgava 1 from theirs (LLLLD). Most recently Auda took a 4-1 win away at Ogre United and FS Jelgava a 0-1 defeat at home to BFC Daugavpils.
How many goals are expected in Auda vs FS Jelgava?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 2.00 for Auda and 0.00 for FS Jelgava. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.