Riga vs Rīgas FS — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Riga the pick at 61% for Riga vs Rīgas FS. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Riga face Rīgas FS on 8 November 2026 at Skonto stadions, Riga. Riga are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 36 fixture in Virsliga is listed as Riga - Rīgas FS. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Riga: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 83.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +62.
Rīgas FS: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 90.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +63.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Riga | Rīgas FS |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +62 | +63 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDWD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 16 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 83.8 | 90.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 61% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Riga 83.8 versus Rīgas FS 90.8, a gap of 6.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Riga's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Riga at 61%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Riga's way, especially at Skonto stadions.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Riga or Rīgas FS?
Riga, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 61% Riga, 22% the draw and 17% Rīgas FS.
When and where is Riga vs Rīgas FS being played?
8 November 2026 at Skonto stadions, Riga, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Riga and Rīgas FS met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Riga and Rīgas FS?
Riga have taken 9 points from their last five (DWDWD), Rīgas FS 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Riga took a 0-0 draw away at Ogre United and Rīgas FS a 3-0 win at home to Grobiņa.
How many goals are expected in Riga vs Rīgas FS?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.80 for Riga and 1.40 for Rīgas FS. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.