Tukums vs Auda: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Auda the pick at 63% for Tukums vs Auda. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Tukums host Auda on 8 November 2026. Auda are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 63%. This matchday 36 fixture in Virsliga is listed as Tukums - Auda. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Tukums: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored one and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.9 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -23.
Auda: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +23.
Side by side
| Statistic | Tukums | Auda |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -23 | +23 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLD | WWLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 7 | 13 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.9 | 64.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 16% | 63% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Tukums 25.9 versus Auda 64.1, a gap of 38.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.67, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 67%.
- First goal: Leans Auda's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Auda at 63%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. Auda's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tukums or Auda?
Auda, with an implied win probability of roughly 63%. The full split is 16% Tukums, 21% the draw and 63% Auda.
When and where is Tukums vs Auda being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Tukums and Auda met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Tukums and Auda?
Tukums have taken 2 points from their last five (LDLLD), Auda 10 from theirs (WWLWD). Most recently Tukums took a 0-2 defeat away at BFC Daugavpils and Auda a 4-3 win at home to FS Jelgava.
How many goals are expected in Tukums vs Auda?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.67 — 0.00 for Tukums and 2.67 for Auda. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 67%, so its call is yes.