Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC match summary and prediction — Liga Pro
There is barely anything between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Guayaquil City FC host Mushuc Runa SC on 12 September 2026. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 44%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 30 fixture in Liga Pro is listed as Guayaquil City FC - Mushuc Runa SC. Kick-off is 21:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Guayaquil City FC: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 18 conceded in 17 matches, 0.94 and 1.06 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.1 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -5.
Mushuc Runa SC: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 25 conceded in 16 matches, 1.19 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.1 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Guayaquil City FC | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWD | DDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 10 | 2 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 17 | 16 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.94 / 1.06 | 1.19 / 1.56 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.1 | 48.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 12% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Guayaquil City FC 47.1 versus Mushuc Runa SC 48.1, a gap of 1.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 17% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Guayaquil City FC's way at 63%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 44%, but the three results sit close to even. Mushuc Runa SC's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Guayaquil City FC or Mushuc Runa SC?
Neither side. Our model splits it 44% Guayaquil City FC, 44% the draw and 12% Mushuc Runa SC, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC being played?
12 September 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC?
Mushuc Runa SC 2-2 Guayaquil City FC on 23 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Guayaquil City FC and Mushuc Runa SC?
Guayaquil City FC have taken 7 points from their last five (LLWWD), Mushuc Runa SC 7 from theirs (DDWDD). Most recently Guayaquil City FC took a 3-4 defeat away at Orense SC and Mushuc Runa SC a 1-1 draw at home to Leones del Norte.
How many goals are expected in Guayaquil City FC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.00 for Mushuc Runa SC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 17%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.