Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Atletico Goianiense the pick at 73% for Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Criciuma travel to Atletico Goianiense on 13 September 2026. Atletico Goianiense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 73%. This matchday 28 fixture in Serie B is listed as Atletico Goianiense - Criciuma. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Atletico Goianiense: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 14 conceded in 19 matches, 0.89 and 0.74 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 63.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +6.
Criciuma: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 9 conceded in 14 matches, 1.0 and 0.64 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Atletico Goianiense | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +6 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWD | LWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 3 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 19 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.89 / 0.74 | 1.0 / 0.64 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.53 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 63.2 | 40.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 73% | 4% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Atletico Goianiense none wins, Criciuma one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Criciuma 1-1 Atletico Goianiense on 17 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Goianiense 63.2 versus Criciuma 40.1, a gap of 23.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Atletico Goianiense's way at 73%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Atletico Goianiense at 73%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. Atletico Goianiense's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Goianiense or Criciuma?
Atletico Goianiense, with an implied win probability of roughly 73%. The full split is 73% Atletico Goianiense, 23% the draw and 4% Criciuma.
When and where is Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma being played?
13 September 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma?
Criciuma 1-1 Atletico Goianiense on 17 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma?
Atletico Goianiense have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWWD), Criciuma 4 from theirs (LWLLD). Most recently Atletico Goianiense took a 2-1 win at home to Ceara and Criciuma a 0-2 defeat at home to Juventude.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.80 for Atletico Goianiense and 1.20 for Criciuma. It rates over 2.5 goals at 25%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.