Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR match summary and prediction — Serie B
Our model makes Nautico Recife the pick at 54% for Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Nautico Recife host Operario-PR on 15 September 2026. Nautico Recife are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 28 fixture in Serie B is listed as Nautico Recife - Operario-PR. Kick-off is 22:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Nautico Recife: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 15 conceded in 14 matches, 1.21 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +2.
Operario-PR: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 21 conceded in 19 matches, 1.26 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Nautico Recife | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 6th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWDW | WWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 14 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.21 / 1.07 | 1.26 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.36 | 1.74 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.8 | 52.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 10% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 1) | 1 | 0 |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Nautico Recife 58.8 versus Operario-PR 52.4, a gap of 6.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 87% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Nautico Recife's way at 72%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Nautico Recife at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Nautico Recife or Operario-PR?
Nautico Recife, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Nautico Recife, 36% the draw and 10% Operario-PR.
When and where is Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR being played?
15 September 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Nautico Recife and Operario-PR?
Operario-PR 2-6 Nautico Recife on 16 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Nautico Recife and Operario-PR?
Nautico Recife have taken 10 points from their last five (LWWDW), Operario-PR 8 from theirs (WWDDL). Most recently Nautico Recife took a 1-2 defeat away at America Mineiro and Operario-PR a 3-0 win at home to CRB.
How many goals are expected in Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.60 for Nautico Recife and 1.60 for Operario-PR. It rates over 2.5 goals at 87%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.