Ponte Preta vs CRB — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 50% for Ponte Preta vs CRB. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ponte Preta face CRB on 20 September 2026. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 50%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 29 fixture in Serie B is listed as Ponte Preta - CRB. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ponte Preta: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (15 scored and 34 conceded in 18 matches, 0.83 and 1.89 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 13.5 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -46.
CRB: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 25 conceded in 20 matches, 1.5 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.5 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ponte Preta | CRB |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -46 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 14 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.83 / 1.89 | 1.5 / 1.25 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.44 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 13.5 | 55.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 29% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ponte Preta 13.5 versus CRB 55.5, a gap of 42.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.60, over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams to score at 70%.
- First goal: Leans Ponte Preta's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to a draw at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. CRB's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ponte Preta or CRB?
Neither side. Our model splits it 29% Ponte Preta, 50% the draw and 21% CRB, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Ponte Preta vs CRB being played?
20 September 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ponte Preta and CRB?
CRB 4-2 Ponte Preta on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Ponte Preta and CRB?
Ponte Preta have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), CRB 9 from theirs (WLWWL). Most recently Ponte Preta took a 0-6 defeat away at Londrina and CRB a 2-1 win at home to Sport Recife.
How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs CRB?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.60 — 0.60 for Ponte Preta and 0.00 for CRB. It rates over 2.5 goals at 25%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 70%, so its call is yes.