Juventude vs Operario-PR: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Juventude the pick at 64% for Juventude vs Operario-PR. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Operario-PR travel to Juventude on 2 October 2026 at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul. Juventude are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 64%. This matchday 31 fixture in Serie B is listed as Juventude - Operario-PR. Kick-off is 23:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Juventude: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 15 conceded in 26 matches, 1.15 and 0.58 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +13.
Operario-PR: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 31 conceded in 24 matches, 1.42 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 62.9 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Juventude | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 8th |
| Goal difference | +13 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWD | DWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 24 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.15 / 0.58 | 1.42 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.6 | 62.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 64% | 6% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Juventude 51.6 versus Operario-PR 62.9, a gap of 11.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 36%.
- First goal: Leans Juventude's way at 75%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Juventude at 64%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Juventude's way, especially at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Juventude or Operario-PR?
Juventude, with an implied win probability of roughly 64%. The full split is 64% Juventude, 30% the draw and 6% Operario-PR.
When and where is Juventude vs Operario-PR being played?
2 October 2026 at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, kick-off 23:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Juventude and Operario-PR?
Operario-PR 2-1 Juventude on 05 June 2026.
What is the recent form of Juventude and Operario-PR?
Juventude have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLWD), Operario-PR 11 from theirs (DWDWW). Most recently Juventude took a 1-0 win away at America Mineiro and Operario-PR a 2-2 draw at home to Ceara.
How many goals are expected in Juventude vs Operario-PR?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.60 for Juventude and 1.60 for Operario-PR. It rates over 2.5 goals at 24%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 36%, so its call is no.