Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Atletico Goianiense and Novorizontino on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Atletico Goianiense host Novorizontino on 24 October 2026 at Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania. Novorizontino are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 36%. This matchday 35 fixture in Serie B is listed as Atletico Goianiense - Novorizontino. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Atletico Goianiense: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 19 conceded in 24 matches, 1.21 and 0.79 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +10.
Novorizontino: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (47 scored and 26 conceded in 33 matches, 1.42 and 0.79 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +31.
Side by side
| Statistic | Atletico Goianiense | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +10 | +31 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWW | DWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 12 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 33 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.21 / 0.79 | 1.42 / 0.79 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 54.2 | 69.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Goianiense 54.2 versus Novorizontino 69.4, a gap of 15.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Novorizontino's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Novorizontino is the nominal pick at 36%, but the three results sit close to even. Novorizontino's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Goianiense or Novorizontino?
Novorizontino, with an implied win probability of roughly 36%. The full split is 33% Atletico Goianiense, 31% the draw and 36% Novorizontino.
When and where is Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino being played?
24 October 2026 at Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Atletico Goianiense and Novorizontino met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Atletico Goianiense and Novorizontino?
Atletico Goianiense have taken 8 points from their last five (DDLWW), Novorizontino 11 from theirs (DWWWD). Most recently Atletico Goianiense took a 1-1 draw away at Ponte Preta and Novorizontino a 2-2 draw away at Vila Nova.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 2.40 for Atletico Goianiense and 1.80 for Novorizontino. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.