Avai vs Botafogo SP — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Avai the pick at 46% for Avai vs Botafogo SP. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Avai host Botafogo SP on 24 October 2026 at Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis. Avai are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 35 fixture in Serie B is listed as Avai - Botafogo SP. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Avai: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 25 conceded in 22 matches, 0.82 and 1.14 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -10.
Botafogo SP: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 21 conceded in 22 matches, 0.91 and 0.95 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.0 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Avai | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -10 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLL | WWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 5 | 6 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.82 / 1.14 | 0.91 / 0.95 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.91 | 1.23 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.8 | 65.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Avai 45.8 versus Botafogo SP 65.0, a gap of 19.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 47%.
- First goal: Leans Avai's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Avai at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Avai's way, especially at Estádio da Ressacada.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Avai or Botafogo SP?
Avai, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Avai, 27% the draw and 27% Botafogo SP.
When and where is Avai vs Botafogo SP being played?
24 October 2026 at Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Avai and Botafogo SP met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Avai and Botafogo SP?
Avai have taken 7 points from their last five (DWWLL), Botafogo SP 12 from theirs (WWWLW). Most recently Avai took a 0-0 draw at home to Athletic Club and Botafogo SP a 1-0 win away at CRB.
How many goals are expected in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.40 for Avai and 1.00 for Botafogo SP. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 47%, so its call is no.