Operario-PR vs Athletic Club: match summary, form and prediction
Athletic Club travel to Operario-PR needing a result to steady a season that has drifted — 14th and winless in five. Form, comparison data and the model's read, below.
The fixture at a glance
Operario-PR host Athletic Club on 23 October 2026. Operario-PR are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 35 fixture in Serie B is listed as Operario-PR - Athletic Club. Kick-off is 22:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Operario-PR: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 31 conceded in 24 matches, 1.42 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -2.
Athletic Club: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 23 conceded in 26 matches, 1.35 and 0.88 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of +1. For a club of Athletic Club's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Side by side
| Statistic | Operario-PR | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | DDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 10 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 26 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.42 / 1.29 | 1.35 / 0.88 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.8 | 35.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 8% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Operario-PR 27.8 versus Athletic Club 35.2, a gap of 7.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Athletic Club are 14th with a goal difference of +1 and winless in five — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 86% and both teams to score at 39%.
- First goal: Leans Operario-PR's way at 71%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Operario-PR at 60%, a gap of 27 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Operario-PR or Athletic Club?
Operario-PR, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Operario-PR, 33% the draw and 8% Athletic Club.
When and where is Operario-PR vs Athletic Club being played?
23 October 2026, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
Have Operario-PR and Athletic Club met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Operario-PR and Athletic Club?
Operario-PR have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Athletic Club 3 from theirs (DDLLD). Most recently Operario-PR took a 0-1 defeat away at America Mineiro and Athletic Club a 0-0 draw away at Avai.
How many goals are expected in Operario-PR vs Athletic Club?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Operario-PR and 2.20 for Athletic Club. It rates over 2.5 goals at 86%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 39%, so its call is no.