Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife match summary and prediction — Serie B
There is barely anything between Botafogo SP and Sport Recife on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Sport Recife travel to Botafogo SP on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto. Botafogo SP are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 36 fixture in Serie B is listed as Botafogo SP - Sport Recife. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Botafogo SP: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 21 conceded in 23 matches, 0.96 and 0.91 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.5 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +2.
Sport Recife: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (24 scored and 19 conceded in 22 matches, 1.09 and 0.86 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Botafogo SP | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | WLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 2 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.96 / 0.91 | 1.09 / 0.86 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 65.5 | 60.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Botafogo SP 65.5 versus Sport Recife 60.6, a gap of 4.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Botafogo SP's way at 51%.
The call
The model does not commit. Botafogo SP is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Botafogo SP's way, especially at Estadio Santa Cruz.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Botafogo SP or Sport Recife?
Botafogo SP, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Botafogo SP, 29% the draw and 34% Sport Recife.
When and where is Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Botafogo SP and Sport Recife met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Botafogo SP and Sport Recife?
Botafogo SP have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Sport Recife 10 from theirs (WLDWW). Most recently Botafogo SP took a 2-0 win away at Avai and Sport Recife a 2-1 win at home to Criciuma.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Botafogo SP and 1.40 for Sport Recife. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.