Novorizontino vs Operario-PR match summary and prediction — Serie B
Our model makes Novorizontino the pick at 55% for Novorizontino vs Operario-PR. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Novorizontino host Operario-PR on 1 November 2026 at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons. Novorizontino are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 36 fixture in Serie B is listed as Novorizontino - Operario-PR. Kick-off is 21:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Novorizontino: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (48 scored and 26 conceded in 34 matches, 1.41 and 0.76 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 76.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +32.
Operario-PR: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (35 scored and 31 conceded in 25 matches, 1.4 and 1.24 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Novorizontino | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 10th |
| Goal difference | +32 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWWW | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 13 / 3 | 2 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 34 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.41 / 0.76 | 1.4 / 1.24 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.59 | 1.72 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 76.3 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 22% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Novorizontino 76.3 versus Operario-PR 34.8, a gap of 41.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Novorizontino's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Novorizontino at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Novorizontino's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Novorizontino's way, especially at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Novorizontino or Operario-PR?
Novorizontino, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Novorizontino, 23% the draw and 22% Operario-PR.
When and where is Novorizontino vs Operario-PR being played?
1 November 2026 at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Novorizontino and Operario-PR?
Operario-PR 2-1 Novorizontino on 12 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Novorizontino and Operario-PR?
Novorizontino have taken 13 points from their last five (WDWWW), Operario-PR 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Novorizontino took a 1-0 win away at Atletico Goianiense and Operario-PR a 1-0 win at home to Athletic Club.
How many goals are expected in Novorizontino vs Operario-PR?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for Novorizontino and 2.00 for Operario-PR. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.