Vila Nova vs Juventude match summary and prediction — Serie B
There is barely anything between Vila Nova and Juventude on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Vila Nova host Juventude on 31 October 2026 at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania. Juventude are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 34%. This matchday 36 fixture in Serie B is listed as Vila Nova - Juventude. Kick-off is 20:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Vila Nova: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 29 conceded in 24 matches, 1.17 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +14.
Juventude: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 15 conceded in 27 matches, 1.26 and 0.56 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +22.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Vila Nova | Juventude |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +14 | +22 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWDW | WDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 13 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.21 | 1.26 / 0.56 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.2 | 67.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Vila Nova 55.2 versus Juventude 67.2, a gap of 12.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Juventude's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Juventude is the nominal pick at 34%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Vila Nova or Juventude?
Juventude, with an implied win probability of roughly 34%. The full split is 33% Vila Nova, 33% the draw and 34% Juventude.
When and where is Vila Nova vs Juventude being played?
31 October 2026 at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
Have Vila Nova and Juventude met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Vila Nova and Juventude?
Vila Nova have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWDW), Juventude 11 from theirs (WDDWW). Most recently Vila Nova took a 2-3 defeat away at São Bernardo and Juventude a 4-0 win at home to Nautico Recife.
How many goals are expected in Vila Nova vs Juventude?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Vila Nova and 1.60 for Juventude. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.