Ceara vs America Mineiro: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ceara the pick at 57% for Ceara vs America Mineiro. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
America Mineiro travel to Ceara on 8 November 2026. Ceara are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 37 fixture in Serie B is listed as Ceara - America Mineiro. Kick-off is 22:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ceara: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 31 conceded in 27 matches, 1.15 and 1.15 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -8.
America Mineiro: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 36 conceded in 22 matches, 0.86 and 1.64 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -29.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ceara | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 19th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -29 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLW | WWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 5 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.15 / 1.15 | 0.86 / 1.64 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.3 | 0.82 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 47.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ceara 36.3 versus America Mineiro 47.8, a gap of 11.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Ceara's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Ceara at 57%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. America Mineiro's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ceara or America Mineiro?
Ceara, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Ceara, 25% the draw and 19% America Mineiro.
When and where is Ceara vs America Mineiro being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 22:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ceara and America Mineiro?
America Mineiro 1-1 Ceara on 17 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Ceara and America Mineiro?
Ceara have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDLW), America Mineiro 9 from theirs (WWWLL). Most recently Ceara took a 1-2 defeat away at Athletic Club and America Mineiro a 3-1 win away at Londrina.
How many goals are expected in Ceara vs America Mineiro?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Ceara and 1.40 for America Mineiro. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.