Cuiaba vs Juventude: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Cuiaba and Juventude on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Juventude travel to Cuiaba on 7 November 2026 at Arena Pantanal. Juventude are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 37 fixture in Serie B is listed as Cuiaba - Juventude. Kick-off is 00:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cuiaba: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one draw before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 18 conceded in 21 matches, 0.81 and 0.86 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 29.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +3.
Juventude: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 17 conceded in 28 matches, 1.29 and 0.61 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.5 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +22.
Side by side
| Statistic | Cuiaba | Juventude |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +3 | +22 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLD | DWDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 5 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 28 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.81 / 0.86 | 1.29 / 0.61 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.1 | 1.64 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 29.1 | 60.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 37% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Cuiaba none wins, Juventude one win, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Juventude 2-0 Cuiaba on 17 July 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.33 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Cuiaba 29.1 versus Juventude 60.5, a gap of 31.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Juventude's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Juventude is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. Juventude's stronger recent metrics back it, the goals line points to under 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cuiaba or Juventude?
Juventude, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 33% Cuiaba, 31% the draw and 37% Juventude.
When and where is Cuiaba vs Juventude being played?
7 November 2026 at Arena Pantanal, kick-off 00:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Cuiaba and Juventude?
Juventude 2-0 Cuiaba on 17 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Cuiaba and Juventude?
Cuiaba have taken 1 points from their last five (LLLLD), Juventude 9 from theirs (DWDDW). Most recently Cuiaba took a 1-2 defeat at home to São Bernardo and Juventude a 2-2 draw away at Vila Nova.
How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Juventude?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Cuiaba and 2.00 for Juventude. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.