Goias vs Ponte Preta — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Goias the pick at 72% for Goias vs Ponte Preta. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Goias host Ponte Preta on 8 November 2026. Goias are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 72%. This matchday 37 fixture in Serie B is listed as Goias - Ponte Preta. Kick-off is 22:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Goias: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 31 conceded in 27 matches, 1.22 and 1.15 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -3.
Ponte Preta: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 51 conceded in 25 matches, 0.72 and 2.04 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 17.4 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -57.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Goias | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 20th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -57 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | LDDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 2 | 4 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.22 / 1.15 | 0.72 / 2.04 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.56 | 0.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.6 | 17.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 72% | 10% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Goias 67.6 versus Ponte Preta 17.4, a gap of 50.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Goias' way at 73%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Goias at 72%, a gap of 54 percentage points to the next outcome. Goias' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Goias or Ponte Preta?
Goias, with an implied win probability of roughly 72%. The full split is 72% Goias, 18% the draw and 10% Ponte Preta.
When and where is Goias vs Ponte Preta being played?
8 November 2026, kick-off 22:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Goias and Ponte Preta?
Ponte Preta 1-2 Goias on 18 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Goias and Ponte Preta?
Goias have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), Ponte Preta 2 from theirs (LDDLL). Most recently Goias took a 2-1 win at home to CRB and Ponte Preta a 0-2 defeat away at Criciuma.
How many goals are expected in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.40 for Goias and 0.40 for Ponte Preta. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.