Operario-PR vs Sport Recife: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Operario-PR the pick at 45% for Operario-PR vs Sport Recife. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sport Recife travel to Operario-PR on 6 November 2026 at Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa. Operario-PR are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 37 fixture in Serie B is listed as Operario-PR - Sport Recife. Kick-off is 22:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Operario-PR: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 33 conceded in 26 matches, 1.38 and 1.27 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -2.
Sport Recife: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 20 conceded in 23 matches, 1.09 and 0.87 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.9 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Operario-PR | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -2 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | DWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 7 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.38 / 1.27 | 1.09 / 0.87 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.65 | 1.48 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.5 | 53.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Operario-PR 34.5 versus Sport Recife 53.9, a gap of 19.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Operario-PR's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Operario-PR at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sport Recife's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Operario-PR's way, especially at Estadio Germano Kruger.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Operario-PR or Sport Recife?
Operario-PR, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Operario-PR, 29% the draw and 26% Sport Recife.
When and where is Operario-PR vs Sport Recife being played?
6 November 2026 at Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa, kick-off 22:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Operario-PR and Sport Recife?
Sport Recife 2-2 Operario-PR on 18 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Operario-PR and Sport Recife?
Operario-PR have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Sport Recife 8 from theirs (DWLDW). Most recently Operario-PR took a 1-2 defeat away at Novorizontino and Sport Recife a 1-1 draw away at Botafogo SP.
How many goals are expected in Operario-PR vs Sport Recife?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.00 for Operario-PR and 1.40 for Sport Recife. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.