Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Atletico Goianiense the pick at 50% for Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Cuiaba travel to Atletico Goianiense on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania. Atletico Goianiense are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 38 fixture in Serie B is listed as Atletico Goianiense - Cuiaba. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Atletico Goianiense: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 22 conceded in 27 matches, 1.19 and 0.81 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +10.
Cuiaba: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 20 conceded in 22 matches, 0.82 and 0.91 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.5 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Atletico Goianiense | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +10 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLDD | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 2 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 27 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.19 / 0.81 | 0.82 / 0.91 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.63 | 1.05 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.5 | 25.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 23% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Atletico Goianiense none wins, Cuiaba none wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Cuiaba on 18 October 2024.
- Head-to-head goals: 0.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Atletico Goianiense 47.5 versus Cuiaba 25.5, a gap of 22.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Atletico Goianiense's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Atletico Goianiense at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Atletico Goianiense's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Atletico Goianiense's way, especially at Estadio Antonio Accioly.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Atletico Goianiense or Cuiaba?
Atletico Goianiense, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Atletico Goianiense, 27% the draw and 23% Cuiaba.
When and where is Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Atletico Goianiense and Cuiaba?
Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Cuiaba on 18 October 2024.
What is the recent form of Atletico Goianiense and Cuiaba?
Atletico Goianiense have taken 6 points from their last five (WDLDD), Cuiaba 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Atletico Goianiense took a 3-2 win away at Athletic Club and Cuiaba a 1-2 defeat at home to Juventude.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.80 for Atletico Goianiense and 1.20 for Cuiaba. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.