CRB vs Ceara — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes CRB the pick at 58% for CRB vs Ceara. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
CRB face Ceara on 14 November 2026 at Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio. CRB are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 58%. This matchday 38 fixture in Serie B is listed as CRB - Ceara. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
CRB: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (42 scored and 33 conceded in 28 matches, 1.5 and 1.18 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +6.
Ceara: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (31 scored and 32 conceded in 28 matches, 1.11 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.1 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | CRB | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +6 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLD | LLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 3 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 28 | 28 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.18 | 1.11 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.54 | 1.25 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.8 | 26.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 58% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: CRB 49.8 versus Ceara 26.1, a gap of 23.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans CRB's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards CRB at 58%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. CRB's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts CRB's way, especially at Estádio Rei Pelé.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: CRB or Ceara?
CRB, with an implied win probability of roughly 58%. The full split is 58% CRB, 23% the draw and 19% Ceara.
When and where is CRB vs Ceara being played?
14 November 2026 at Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between CRB and Ceara?
Ceara 0-1 CRB on 22 July 2026.
What is the recent form of CRB and Ceara?
CRB have taken 7 points from their last five (WLWLD), Ceara 1 from theirs (LLLDL). Most recently CRB took a 3-0 win away at Nautico Recife and Ceara a 0-1 defeat at home to America Mineiro.
How many goals are expected in CRB vs Ceara?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.20 for CRB and 0.60 for Ceara. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.