Juventude vs Botafogo SP: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Juventude the pick at 60% for Juventude vs Botafogo SP. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Juventude face Botafogo SP on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul. Juventude are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 38 fixture in Serie B is listed as Juventude - Botafogo SP. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Juventude: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 18 conceded in 29 matches, 1.31 and 0.62 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +23.
Botafogo SP: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 22 conceded in 25 matches, 1.08 and 0.88 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Juventude | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 12th |
| Goal difference | +23 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDD | WDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 7 | 9 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 29 | 25 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.31 / 0.62 | 1.08 / 0.88 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.69 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.8 | 69.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 16% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Juventude 60.8 versus Botafogo SP 69.8, a gap of 9.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Juventude's way at 65%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Juventude at 60%, a gap of 36 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Juventude's way, especially at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Juventude or Botafogo SP?
Juventude, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Juventude, 24% the draw and 16% Botafogo SP.
When and where is Juventude vs Botafogo SP being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Juventude and Botafogo SP met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Juventude and Botafogo SP?
Juventude have taken 9 points from their last five (WDWDD), Botafogo SP 13 from theirs (WDWWW). Most recently Juventude took a 2-1 win away at Cuiaba and Botafogo SP a 4-0 win at home to Londrina.
How many goals are expected in Juventude vs Botafogo SP?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.00 for Juventude and 1.80 for Botafogo SP. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.