Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Operario-PR the pick at 62% for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ponte Preta host Operario-PR on 14 November 2026 at Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas. Operario-PR are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 38 fixture in Serie B is listed as Ponte Preta - Operario-PR. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ponte Preta: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 52 conceded in 26 matches, 0.69 and 2.0 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 17.2 out of 100, and they sit 20th on a goal difference of -58.
Operario-PR: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (39 scored and 35 conceded in 27 matches, 1.44 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ponte Preta | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 20th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -58 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDDL | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 26 | 27 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.69 / 2.0 | 1.44 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.38 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 17.2 | 44.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 17% | 62% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ponte Preta 17.2 versus Operario-PR 44.8, a gap of 27.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Operario-PR's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Operario-PR at 62%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Operario-PR's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ponte Preta or Operario-PR?
Operario-PR, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 17% Ponte Preta, 22% the draw and 62% Operario-PR.
When and where is Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR being played?
14 November 2026 at Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ponte Preta and Operario-PR?
Operario-PR 3-2 Ponte Preta on 22 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Ponte Preta and Operario-PR?
Ponte Preta have taken 2 points from their last five (LLDDL), Operario-PR 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Ponte Preta took a 0-1 defeat away at Goias and Operario-PR a 3-2 win at home to Sport Recife.
How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 0.40 for Ponte Preta and 2.20 for Operario-PR. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.